Bonuses, house edge, and expectation.

Online casinos - the honest ones anyway - purchase the right to use gaming software from widely known software development companies in the industry. An example is Playtech, who supplies the blackjack gaming software for Golden Palace Casino and Bet365 casino, among others.

These software suppliers have programmed the games using random number generators to emulate a given number of decks of cards, and have assigned the individual games a specific set of rules. Knowing this, an optimal strategy is available for any game that will reduce the overall house edge to as low as possible for that particular program.

For example: On the right you will see a card giving the best possible strategy for the Playtech Blackjack Surrender game. (Underneath the strategy card are the rules.) Playing according to this card results in a casino house edge of only .39% - that is, around 1/3 of 1%. You can expect to lose $3.90 for every $1,000 you wager in the long run by following the card for this game, and that's the best anyone can do.

Online casinos offer first-time deposit bonuses to attract new players. This is a practice which works for them - it gets recreational customers who like to gamble hooked on their games, and most of them will eventually lose back the deposit bonus plus a good chunk of their own funds. Very few players will stick to the lowest house-edge games and play them optimally, while using a sound money-management plan. For the few customers who are disciplined enough to do this, the deposit bonuses are easy pickings and the casino simply writes it off as part of their cost of doing business.

A few of the better online casinos regularly offer reload bonuses as well. These are additional deposit bonuses available from time to time after you are a customer (some of them are a set monthly amount). What all these deposit bonuses amount to is a bet against your discipline. The casinos are willing to bet against your having the presence of mind and determination to just play for the deposit bonuses and then cash-out while you are ahead.

In order to cash-out the bonuses you must meet the minimum wagering requirements. These differ by site and are typically anywhere from 20 times to 60 times the bonus amount. For example, before you can withdraw a $200 bonus (plus any other winnings) you might have to wager a total of $8,000. Now you could try to do that as quickly as possible by making large bets, but that is an excellent way to lose back the bonus plus your own money.

Variance is the term used to describe the swings in the game - you will have both winning and losing streaks while playing. By always making only the minimum bet (usually $1) you keep the effect of variance to a minimum and are almost assured of being able to cash out most of the bonus as a profit. The problem with this approach, of course, is time.

Our bot solves this issue and makes cashing the bonuses easy. Set it to bet the minimum wager and just turn it on when you go to bed at night and then off again when you get up in the morning. Even the largest bonus can be withdrawn in just a few days using this method. The reload bonuses can be cashed again and again every month!

Below is a table showing the current deposit bonuses for each casino that our bot works at. Notice the house edge for the game it plays, the minimum wagering requirements, and your corresponding expectation. Your expectation is the amount of the deposit bonus that you should cash-out as profit on average. (Actual results will still be somewhat affected by variance.) But you can rest assured that our bot plays optimally, as it creates a log of every hand played that you can check yourself.

Notice the Zero Bonus Casinos: At one time these all offered initial deposit bonuses that allowed blackjack for clearing. We expect some of them to reinstate the bonus in the near future; meanwhile you can get on their mailing list by opening an account and receive occasional special bonus offers by email.

System requirements: Windows 98 or newer.

casino deposit bonuses image
  • 6 decks
  • Dealer stands on soft 17
  • Player may double on any first two cards
  • Player may double after splitting
  • Player may only split once
  • Dealer always peeks for blackjack
  • Late surrender available
  • Otherwise standard rules

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Casino Bonus House Edge Min. Wager Req. Expected Value Monthly Reload EV
Intercasino $90 .49% 65 x Bonus $61 occasional
Intercasino Additional** $90 .49% 65 x Bonus $61 $61
888 Casino On Net $200 .40% 25 x Bonus $170 $80
William Hill* $70* .49% 25 x Bonus $46* $30*
Littlewoods* $150* .40% 25 x Bonus $70* $80*
Gamblers Palace $250 .62% 30 x All $110 $87+
Casino.net $260 .46% 15 x All $100 $100+
Betfair Casino $100 .46% 15 x All $86 occasional
Mybet Casino $325* .46% 20 x All $271 occasional
Casino Euro $166 .40% 10 x All $146 $36++
Lucky Ace Casino $200 .40% 50 x All $170 $80
BWin Instant Casino* $260* .46% 40 x Bonus $210* occasional
BWin Download Casino* $260* .46% 20 x All $188* occasional
Parbet Casino $50 .49% 75 x Bonus $31 occasional
Cherry Casino $111 .40% 40 x All $57 $20
Casino Club* 0 - - - 0
King Solomon's Casino 0 - - - occasional
Golden Palace 0 - - - occasional
Playboy Gaming 0 - - - 0
Sportingbet/Paradise 0 - - - occasional
VIP Casino 0 - - - 0
BeTheDealer 0 - - - $79+
Bet1128 0 - - - occasional
Betinternet 0 - - - occasional
Bet Fred 0 - - - occasional
Total: 25 Casinos $2622     $1777 $643+

*British Pound or Euro accounts, these are the approximate USD conversion values, conversion is automatic

**Additional Intercasino bonus available in most venues